Here is my short analysis regarding recent escalation in the northern Israeli border:
1. An important historical development in Hezbollah-Hamas relations that has now reached maturity after years of interactions appears to be reflected in the escalation.
2. Motivated to strengthen its pro-Palestinian image for some reasons and challenge the Israeli red lines, Hezbollah has enabled Hamas to build terrorist infrastructures across Lebanon and fire missiles from the north.
3. In October 2021,
@Israel_Alma_org
released a unique analysis listing senior political and military leaders of Hamas who were operating in Lebanon, as well as its
various military projects, working plans and even locations of some of Hamas’s key Lebanese military sites.
4. Most likely, Hezbollah and Hamas are motivated to undermine Israel's red lines as they believe that it has been weakened due to its political-social crisis stemming from the controversy regarding judicial reform.
5. In addition to its independent production capabilities, Hamas probably also relies on supplies from the Palestine branch of the Quds Force, led by Saeed Izadi.
@Yossi_Mansharof
The MB (Hamas) and Hezbollah alliance is historically not new, but it has been intensified for opportunistic reasons. We also see this in Europe. But we should also not forget the influence of Abu Putin. 😉