George Perkovich
@PerkovichG
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VP Carnegie Endowment, covering nuclear policy & tech/international affairs. Focus on U.S., China and South Asia, Iran.
Joined January 2013
Much wisdom here. Bravery too in this political environment. Will pols listen? #The U.S. should deter — not provoke — Beijing over Taiwan. Here’s how.
washingtonpost.com
Bluster could derail fragile efforts to ease U.S.-China tensions.
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Once again , thank Mike M for setting things straight
Understand the desire for a more rapid + complete Ukrainian win. It's an honorable goal. Cannot at all imagine how it makes sense to push NATO chips onto the table now. We decided (rightly) that interests vital enough to risk nuclear war were not at stake. The persistence of ...
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“For Russia, China is the major lifeline that keeps the economy afloat.” Good dispatch on the upcoming Wang Yi visit to Moscow by @maxseddon & @leahyjoseph in the @FT.
ft.com
Wang Yi’s trip underscores deepening ties with Russia that have caused alarm in the west
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Another compelling thread
Stumbled across this brilliant @JamesFallows piece from over a decade ago, which still counts as a prescient and still very relevant diagnosis of the master problem facing American dynamism, coherence, and competitiveness: Governance, broadly defined https://t.co/GSL3zBREJs
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Important idea for the US to internalize: US strategy won't be sustainable if we're seen to be in the business of persuading or forcing others to solve our problems. The trick is to help others address their challenges--and tailor the resulting efforts to serve US interests too
Scholz quotes India’s foreign minister @DrSJaishankar - Europe has to get out of the mindset that Europe’s problems are the world’s problems, but the world’s problems are not Europe’s problems Jaishankar is not in Munich to hear him - but Scholz due to visit India soon
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A beautiful and humorous thread by James Acton. Read it and smile
<THREAD>Some personal recollections of Catherine Kelleher--surely the only person ever to have met both the satirist Tom Lehrer and the long-time dictator of Turkmenistan, Turkmenbasi. Catherine has just passed away. She was a legend. (1/n)
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Indeed, excellent work by Carnegie’s Gavin Wilde, Nick Beecroft and Jon Bateman
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I remember it well. Staggering performance. Marvin Gaye’s iconic NBA All-Star Game national anthem: ‘He turned that thing into his own’ - The Athletic
nytimes.com
Forty years ago in L.A., the anthem was dipped in Blackness by one of the all-time greats and came up magic.
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🚢💵🛢️ Recent data on 🇷🇺 oil exports contains some unexpected revelations on who/what was really pushing the Urals price down (spoiler: not Western sanctions or boycotts), and who benefitted from it. 🧵 based on analysis of my new @CarnegieEndow colleague @SergeyVakulenk0 1/
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THIS! Thank you Max Boot. It’s been embarrassing . The hysteria over China’s spy balloon is dangerous and unwarranted
washingtonpost.com
War with China isn’t inevitable. It’s dangerous to pretend otherwise.
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Thrilled to launch this new series with @MilanV @CarnegieEndow on a topic close to my heart- federalism . We hope this will provoke wider debate on the institutional architecture needed for negotiating and deepening federal relations. @CPR_India
1/ This week, @CPR_India & @CarnegieEndow are launching a new working paper series on 'cooperative federalism.' The idea is to provoke thoughtful engagement with the dynamics of contemporary federalism in India https://t.co/AyMReOxTwO
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If you prefer not to think about the nuclear war (the way we close our eyes in front of something scary), it does not make it less likely. In fact, it makes it more likely b/c warmongers do not have to answer any Qs until it is too late.
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The logic here: We've been lucky so far, so let's push it. It hasn't happened yet, so clearly there's no danger. It hasn't happened yet BECAUSE Putin has no good way, but if sufficiently desperate, he may try a bad way. And nukes are not the only option for risky escalation. +
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Great piece on state gov't TikTok bans. Largely performative, the bans do create headaches for educators and other officials seeking to engage youth and the public. The bans result from—and contribute to—our frenzied, fact-free discourse on Chinese tech.
washingtonpost.com
It’s not clear whether the bans are anything more than political grandstanding, given that the number of devices covered in each state is relatively minuscule.
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This has always been the problem with arguments in favor of regime change: the two most obvious successful examples are so extreme as to be useless for comparison.
P.S. Like Germany after 1945, a complete defeat of Russian imperialism in 2023 would begin to create the permissive conditions for Russia to finally become a normal, European country after the Putin era ends. 2/END
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I joined @aaronstein1 on the @WarOnTheRocks warcast this week to discuss Germany‘s response to the war in Ukraine - we talk energy, defense spending, and, yes, Leopards - have a listen:
warontherocks.com
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A few further thoughts on Yoon's nuclear remarks in this short explainer video. And an appearance by my winter beard.
On Jan 11 South Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol made an offhanded remark about potentially acquiring nuclear weapons. How would a nuclear-armed South Korea reshape the Korean peninsula? Watch as @toby_dalton explains:
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The Harvard Kennedy School denying me a fellowship is not going to stop me from speaking out. But I worry about younger academics who are watching this sorry episode and take away the lesson that if you criticize Israel, your career can be stymied. https://t.co/wVlxEBQR9x
middleeasteye.net
Kenneth Roth tells MEE his criticism of Israel led to dean denying him a fellowship. Now, hundreds are calling for the dean's expulsion
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