Lance Roberts
@LanceRoberts
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Chief Strategist https://t.co/pIhX6wyW68, Host: RealInvestment Show, Editor https://t.co/wmWaTk1TpO, PM for https://t.co/lf8aFSFI6i Newsletter Signup: https://t.co/qxJrsTVRHR
Houston, Texas
Joined June 2009
The #BullBearReport: Week Of December 5, 2025 This week we review the #technical backdrop and potential for a #SantaRally, and dig into the #bullish and #bearish case for 2026. https://t.co/bEav8EabU6
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12-4-25 Why Markets Are Nervous About a New Fed Chair Markets are reacting to the rising odds of Kevin Hassett becoming the next Fed Chair. His pro-growth, lower-rate stance raises concerns that inflation might not get enough attention. In this short video, @michaellebowitz and
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12-5-25 Why Fed Cuts Could Make the Dollar Stronger, Not Weaker Fed rate cuts aren’t inherently bearish for the dollar $DXY. By supporting economic growth and boosting $SPY / $QQQ, they attract foreign capital that strengthens the currency. In this short video, @michaellebowitz
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Very interesting data on #BlackFriday retail sales. While sales were good overall, the clear winners were the step-down stores as #consumers looked for better value. #Thrift, #Wholesale, and #Offprice retailers grew sales compared to last year.
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According to #Glassnode, #Bitcoin is now trading below major cost basis levels of large buyers, similar to what occurred at the start of the 2022 #bearmarket. Will be interesting to see if #buyers start stepping in, or if there is more downside #risk first as weak hands get
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May be time to consider adding #staples to your portfolio. When #insider buying is near highs, that has typically been a decent entry point. @cvpayne @thedailyshot
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Pin this somewhere as we head into 2026. #WallStreet is very #optimistic for next year already, as they always are, for a continued #bull #market. Always interesting to see how things turn out. @thedailyshot
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I am starting to put together our outlook for 2026, and this #data was notable. While most have forgotten about the ~20% drawdown in Mar/Apr of this year, and the voracious comeback, such is historically fairly rare. There have only been 4 occurrences since 1950, and the
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Employment Data & The Fed Today's #Macroview takes a look at alternative #employment data which suggests that the underlying weakness in the #economy will continue to keep the #Fed cutting rates into 2026. https://t.co/szfMLHj2A8
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12-5-25 Roth Conversions, Money Rules & Financial Wellness
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Which Roth conversion strategy performs best? Catch #TheRealInvestmentShow w Richard Rosso, streaming at 6am CT on YouTube, Meta, LinkedIn, & X. (Links are in the comments)
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12-3-25 Anyone Can Spot a Market Cycle But Few Can Survive It Identifying market cycles is easy; surviving them is the hard part. Long-term cycle narratives often break investors emotionally. In this short video, I explain why focusing on shorter, manageable timeframes leads to
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12-4-25 Why Markets Are Nervous About a New Fed Chair Markets are reacting to the rising odds of Kevin Hassett becoming the next Fed Chair. His pro-growth, lower-rate stance raises concerns that inflation might not get enough attention. In this short video, @michaellebowitz and
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12-4-25 Volatility May Precede Santa Claus Rally | Before the Bell Markets rallied on Wednesday before selling off into the close, but technically this is all normal behavior. After a mild 5% pullback in early November, stocks are simply consolidating gains from the April lows.
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"Every #recession since 1960 has been preceded by a material downturn in LEI/CEI ratio. Today’s reading is squarely in that danger zone. These charts show the Leading Economic Index (LEI) against the Coincident Economic Index (CEI). The current value (≈ 0.86) is: 1. One of the
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