Adam Hopcroft
@Hoptastats
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See you at 5.30 tonight
Who will get 1st 🎻
Who will be
@FFH_Fergi
punt?
I'm sure a certain Villa player will come up in the conversation
🎙️
#FPL
STREAM/POD 🎙️
@richclarkefpl
,
@ahopcroft13
&
@FFH_Fergi
are back LIVE tomorrow (Thursday) at 5.30pm BST previewing GW2!
We are after your violin moments for our new section... who did you nearly go for? 🎻
Set reminder 👉
See you there 👊
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3 worst matches I've seen in last few weeks: Villa v Southampton, Leeds v Villa & Forest v Villa
Common denominator 🤔
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Very disappointed with
@OfficialFPL
. No acknowledgement or apology for website crashing minutes before deadline.
Given there are 8m players surely they could've invested in suitable infrastructure.
Just like the premier league, no regards for their fans
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Really think
@OfficialFPL
should scrap the 3,2,1 bonus point system next season and award all players who acheive above 20bps
20 bps - 1 point
25-29 - 2 points
30-39 - 3 points
40+ - 5 points
Would increase points potential of alot of players
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Big chances conceded
Bournemouth - 5
Palace - 6
Fulham - 9👀
Salah v BOU
Haaland v CRY
Jesus v FUL
Tough captaincy decision this week
#fpl
#gw4
#hoptastats
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Off sides won this season from top 5 in league
Man City 22
Liverpool 21
Arsenal 16
Spurs 38
Villa 58 👀
Yet people only mention our high line when we concede
#utv
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May be controversial but Salah's selfishness stops him being world class
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Surely Liverpool will now have a double when the 🇪🇬👑is back. Triple captain sorted
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Due to work & personal commitments I am signing off for the rest of the season. Good luck in these final few gameweeks
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Man Utd the only team who could get a penalty after the final whistle
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The last Premier League match that Utd won without being awarded a penalty was v Watford on 30th March.
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Fairly settled on this team and still have 0.5m in bank
Greenwood is also in my thoughts
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Well done to Salah triple captainers - it was a high risk/high reward pick. You deserve your big green arrows
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This set & forget team would be
#1
in the world -£100m budget
🍷Pope
🔴TAA
🐺Doherty
⚔️Lundstram
⚔️Baldock
🔵KDB (c)
🔴Mane (vc)
🔴Salah
🦊Vardy
🔴Ings
🐺Jimenez
Subs:
Dunk
Mooy
Tettey
Button
Starting 11 + captain points = 2021
VC points = 25
Bench points = 61
Total = 2107
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The big change I'd like to see from
@OfficialFPL
is bonus points revamped.
Rather than just the top 3 being awarded, I prefer points to correlate to BPS
I.e.
20 bps - 1 point
25 bps - 2 points
30 bps - 3 points
50 bps - 5 points
I see some received a feedback form from
@OfficialFPL
Interesting as they are probably looking at making changes next season.
Some which might be interesting:
1. Replace the bench boost
2. Price changes after deadline only
3. Twisting on captains👀
4. Partial clean sheet pts
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Best set & forget 11
🍷Pope - 170 points
🔴TAA - 210
⚔Lundstram - 144
⚔Baldock - 142
🔵KDB - 251(c)
🔴Salah - 233
🔴Mane - 221(vc)
🔴Martial - 200
🦊Vardy - 210
🔴Ings - 198
🐺Jimenez - 194
Budget - £83.5m (budget bench)
Total points - 2457
Position - 235th (no chips used)
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🎶 Wake me up before you go go, who needs Grealish when you've got Coutinho 🎶
It's arrived
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I am sad to announce that I will be leaving the
@FFH_greenarrow
with immediate effect. 😭
Like all good things, they have to end at some point. Unfortunately, I no longer have the capacity to give the 100% commitment that this great podcast deserves.
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Love Raul Jimenez - bought him in GW4 for £5.5m
7 goals & 7 assists later he has risen to £6.5m. Definitely my player of the season
Who is your Player of the Season
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Only 4 forwards with 40+ points since GW13
Edouard 46
Maupay 43
Ronaldo 43
Broja 42
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For those impacted by yesterday's server crash, we have plenty of time to bounce back & "recover" lost points.
Not going to lie, felt low yesterday but no point dwelling on it. Spent today having fun with family & now ready to face the fpl challenge ahead
Back stronger 💪
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Players with 4+ points per match that play in 31 (min 10 apps)
Pope 4.4
Guaita 4.3
Lloris 4.2
Patricio 4
TAA 5.7
Robertson 4.9
VVD 4.9
Boly 4.6
Doherty 4.3
PVA 4
Gomez 4
Salah 7.2
Mane 6.7
Alli 5.2
Sarr 4.1
Jimenez 5.1
Firmino 4.5
Wood 4.2
How many hits will you take in 31?
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Callum Wilson last 3 matches
Goals - 0
xG - 0.12
Shots - 3
In fairness he has faced 3 tough defences in Arsenal, Norwich & Watford
Ultimate troll?
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DCL has had most big chances (4) for Everton this season, yet he has only played 3 matches!
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Such fine margins especially with goalkeepeers
Areola shouldve conceded a pen
West Brom miss 3 absolute sitters to allow Pope to keep cs
Meslier on for huge haul & has the ball rebound off him in to net
The joy that is fpl
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We can't control the postponements but we can take advantage of the DGW opportunities
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Sterling & Kane gives you the following captaincy rotation
3. NEW
4. BRI
5. CRY
6. WAT
7. SOU
8. WOL
9. WAT
10. AVL
11. SOU
12. SHU
13. CHE (or whm)
14. BOU
Is Sterling/Kane the way to go
May mean missing out on KDB, Salah or Mane though
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Where does Ancelotti rank amongst the great managers?
Most CL titles with 3
Only Manager to win league title in all top 5 major leagues
Also getting a top half finish for this Everton side is not bad!
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Are there any strikers or midfielders at 7m or below that can outscore Robertson?
Starting to think that a 442 with TAA & Robbo is the way to go
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The below Zombie team would be on 502 points, 13 points clear of 🌍 no 1
343 - 83.5m spent
🇵🇱 Fabianski - 31 points
🏴 Lundstram - 32
🇩🇰 Vestergaard - 28
🇳🇱 Pieters - 27
🇧🇪 KDB - 54
🇪🇬 Salah - 50
🇸🇳 Mane - 42
🏴 Mount - 33
🇦🇷 Aguero (c) - 110
🇫🇮 Pukki - 51
🏴 Abraham - 44
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The top scoring forward since GW13 is Martial with 53 points.
No other forward has scored 50+
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Read somewhere there is tension between Ronaldo & Maguire. Could be the reason he ditched him from fpl team
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Hope Ronaldo plays even if for 1 minute, just so Bruno captainers can get full benefit of their decision.
Well done to anyone who captained Bruno - was 3rd best plyer on pitch the weekend (after Buendia & Ramsey😂)
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It's no coincidence that Morata has started last 5 matches and Hazard has only scored 9 points
All 7 of Hazard's goals have come when Giroud is on the pitch
Hazard has not scored a goal when Morata is on pitch
Giroud needs to start for sake of Hazard's fpl career!
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Anyone-else hoping for a Johnstone cleansheet + an Antonio hattrick?
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Sterling - last 11 starts
13, 3, 7, 8, 6, 5, 8, 3, 11, 8, 8
80 points
7.3 points per start
6 goals
5 assists
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Fpl players that own Aguero, Mahrez, KDB "f**k the winterbreak they will have had long enough off"
Fpl players with KDB/no City "you cant devalue the winterbreak, they need a physical & mental rest"
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Aubameyang has 8 goals & 2 assists from his last 6 home starts 🔥
His only blank came vs West Ham!
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Owning Bruno is no fun. All im doing is hoping Utd get a pen
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Don't get the Hazard "troll" chat especially this season
He has only blanked in 5 matches
Highest points per match
Most 10+ hauls (6)
Joint most fpl returns (goals + assists)
Top for BPS
2nd in overall bonus points
& an absolute joy to watch
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Double gw32 players - points per match
Sterling 7.3
Aguero 6.3
Hazard 6.3
Kane 6
Son 5.8
Pogba 5.6
Sane 5.3
Jimenez 5.1
Alonso 5
D Silva 4.6
Lloris 4.5
Luiz 4.5
Deulofeu 4.5
Higuain 4.4
Trippier 4.3
Eriksen 4.3
Alli 4.3
Mili 4.2
Rashford 4.2
Laporte 4.2
Walker 4.2
Ederson 4.2
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Harry Kane's last 7 PL matches for Spurs
Played - 7
Goals - 8
Assists - 6
Mins per goal/assist - 45
Kane is on 🔥
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3 standout players with low(ish) ownership:
Robertson (4.3%)
12, 7, 5, 8, 2, 9, 12, 11 - last 8 matches
Laporte (7.9%)
7, 6, 6, 10, 6, 6, 7, 10 - last 8 matches
Tierney (12%)
12, 12, 7, 2, 13, 4, 8 - last 7 matches
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Finished 47k overall, my worst ever finish
No positives but plenty of lessons learned
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Just experimented with a wildcard without Salah & have to say it is my favourite draft
allows me the following:
4.5 gk
TAA, Shaw, Rudiger
Torres, Raphina, Greenwood, Jota
Ronaldo, Lukaku, Antonio
only issue is that it means no Salah for gw 5 v CRY
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Only 5 players who play in gw30 are averaging 5+ points per match this season
Coutinho
Son
Kulusevski
Bowen
Ramsdale
Worth considering before taking a hit
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Mourinho PL record for cleansheets
Man Utd:
18/19 - 2 in 17
17/18 - 19 in 38
16/17 - 17 in 38
Chelsea:
15/16 - 4 in 16
14/15 - 17 in 38
13/14 - 18 in 38
07/08 - 2 in 5
06/07 - 22 in 38
05/06 - 20 in 38
04/05 - 25 in 38
Total 146 in 304 matches = 48%
Spurs defence 👀👀
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Thanks for all the messages
This probably wont come as a shock but that is the best Villa performance I have ever seen.
💜💙
#UTV
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Any gw 16 wildcarders who fancy a 1 week punt, look no further than Anwar El Ghazi
16 shots in last 2 matches, including 9 on target
Also on pens and direct free kicks
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2 things spring to mind.
a) sell Salah
b) free hit
Leaning towards a)
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Very disappointed in Son.
If you are injured then go off rather than stay on to score the winner.
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Top 5 worse defences based on xG against
Fulham 33.34
Burnley 33.09
Brighton 27.45
Cardiff 26.03
Southampton 25.81
Arsenal play 4 of above in next 5, Chelsea 2, Spurs 2, City 1 & Utd 1. Liverpool face none of the above
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Wasteful day in fpl today🤦♂️
Popular FPL assets - big chances missed:
🔵 Abraham 4
🔴 Mane 2
🍒 Wilson 2
🔴 Salah 1
🔵 Sterling 1
🦁 McGinn 1
🔰 Cantwell 1
Abraham now missed his last 6 big chances
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Players who passed eye test yesterday:
1) Pukki (NOR) - CHE whm MCI bur cry
3 goals
7 shots
6 shots on target
1 key pass
✅good value
✅100% goal involvement so far
✅High shot volume - averaging 5 per match
❎Tough fixtures
❎overperforming xG (4 goals vs 1.46 xG)
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Weghorst 4 shots in 6 matches. Anyone starting him v Norwich?
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Salah hasnt had a big chance in open play this season
Mane has had 4
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Personally not interested in Bruno
2, 2, 1, 9, 3, 3, 1, 1, 14, 9, 3 - last 11 matches
Only double digit haul due to huge Martinez error (shot had xGOT of 0.09)
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Double game week team - top points per match
🔴Leno 3.9
⚔️Lundstram 4.7
⚔️Baldock 4.1
⚔️Stevens 3.9
🔵KDB 6.8 ©️
🔵Mahrez 5.3
🦁Grealish 4.5
🔴Pepe 3.7
🔴Aubameyang 5.8
🔵Aguero 5.6
🦁Samatta 3.5
Total = 58.6 x 2 = 117.2 points
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Danny Ings is so clinical. Since gw 7 he has 10 goals. Some stats:
Scored 8 of 9 big chances
Scored 40% of his shots in the box
Scored 67% of his shots on target
Doesnt have loads of shots but takes his chances
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Early thoughts for DGW22
A) wildcard in 21, BB in 22
✅ good choice of players for BB
✅ can spread salah funds on wc
✅ high ceiling?
❌ covid & players missing out
❌ big gap gw21 & 22
B) free hit
✅ can keep liverpool, city, arsenal, Chelsea players & target easy fixtures
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3 games in - total expected goal involvement
xg + xa
🔵 KDB 3.38
🔵 Sterling 3.35
🔰 Pukki 3.17
🔵 Aguero 2.97
🔴 Salah 2.89
👹 Rashford 2.50
🔰 Cantwell 2.14
🔴 TAA 2.13
🔴 Firmino 2.12
🍷 Barnes 2.10
⚔ Lundstram 2.10
City attacking triple up anyone?
Source: understat
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Best post lockdown FPL team (gw30-35)
🔵Ederson - 36 points
🔴Egan - 36
🟠Jonny - 35
🟠Doherty - 34
🔴Fernandes - 61©️
🔵Sterling - 60
🔴Martial - 59
🟣Antonio - 50
🔵KDB - 48
🔴Ings - 39
🔴Greenwood - 37
Total points - 556
Points per game week - 92
Total cost - £82.1m
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My balanced take on Gerrard
✅️ attracted players of the class of Coutinho, Carlos, Kamara & Digne
✅️ assembled a strong squad
✅️ Good with the media
❌️ doesn't seem to know his best team
❌️ has favourite players who he is reluctant to drop
❌️Tactically unflexible
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@LetsTalk_FPL
I love price changes as it forces decisions and panic amongst managers. Otherwise we'd all just wait until Friday/Saturday to do our transfers
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Are you having a Laugh?
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Is Camarasa from Cardiff the perfect 5th midfielder?
On pens ✔
On set pieces ✔
Cheap enough to bench ✔
Good fixtures ✔
Created 13 chances in last 6 - bettered by only 4 mids
2 goals & 1 assist in last 5
0.4m more than Puncheon but can be used in starting 11
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Wildcard reveal
Laporte over VVD - best defence with better fix
Dunk, Lundstram, Cantwell can complete for 11th spot
3x Utd with great fix
Mane over Salah - has been better in 2019
Good luck everyone
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Initial thoughts are Toney & Salah to DCL & Son
Alot depends on whether Salah will be available in gw4
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Had an incredible day with my daughter at Villa Park
Great day of father/daughter bonding, topped off by great result
#utv
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Since returning from injury, Harry Kane has had 23 shots in 337 mins (all comps)
A shot every 15 minutes
Kane + high shot volume = mega haul on the cards
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Grealish is unplayable takes so many players out the game. Easily the most exciting player to watch in the league
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Own both Bruno & Ramsdale - he only had to hit the target 🤦♂️
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Based on form the following should be starters for England:
Dean Henderson
TAA
Gomez
Jordan Henderson
Grealish
Sancho
Special mention to Oxlaide-Chamberlain (should he stay fit)
Henderson should be captain regardless of if Kane is fit
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VAR is running both my football & fpl enjoyment.
No goal can be celebrated anymore.
The offside decisions are becoming ridiculous, definitely needs changing
Offside in football in 2019: Sterling’s armpit v Zouma’s butt-cheek
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3K
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The following teams have 4 home games in next 6
Arsenal (Lei, Liv, Wol, Tot)
Cardiff (Ful, Lei, Bri, Wol)
Chelsea (Utd, Cry, Eve, Ful)
Huddersfield (Liv, Ful, Whu, Bri)
Man City (Bur, Sou, Utd, Bou)
Newcastle (Bri, Wat, Bou, Whu)
Any players from above on your radar?
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Finally started blocking people on twitter, may have got a bit too trigger happy 🤣
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Not a fan of strikers below 7m (other than Ings)
Points per match last 10 gameweeks:
Ings 7.1
Pukki 4.3
Calvert-Lewin 4.1
Deeney 3.9
Ayew 3.7
Maupay 3.7
Wood 3.6
Compared with mids in same bracket
Fleck 5.3
Grealish 5.2
Shelvey 5
Perez 4.9
Cantwell 4.7
Sarr 4.7
Doucoure 4.7
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Unlucky Mbeumo & Toney owners
2 border-line offsides have cost Mbeumo & Toney a total of 15 points (excluding bonus) in last 2 weeks.
#fpl
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After listening to
@PlanetFPLPod
the boys have got it spot on. Great pods 👏
I rewatched the game last night whilst the wife watched Bake Off - here is my take on Villa assets
1) Martinez - 6 saves (75%) - alot at crucial times in game. He has made a huge difference already
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KDB's fixtures from 28-32 could be:
28 - blank
29 - Man Utd (a)
30 - Burnley (H)
31 - blank
32 - Liverpool (H)
Think he becomes disposable after gameweek 27
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Just to confirm Man Utd are 2nd in the league and not 'joint top" as
@SkySportsPL
will have you believe
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Vardy away from home - (non big 6)
Sheff Utd - 8 pts ⚽️
Southampton - 20 pts ⚽️⚽️⚽️🅰️
Crystal Palace - 6 pts ⚽️
Brighton - 12 pts ⚽️🅰️
Aston Villa - 13 pts ⚽️⚽️
Burnley?
🅿️5⚽️8🅰️2
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The most under-rated skill in football is decision making.
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I can now confirm my Wildcard is Active
Reasons why:
1) To correct some early errors (I went Heaton & Rico over Pope & Lundstram)
2) Really want Mane, KDB, Martial, Rashford & Pukki
3) Could have done -4/8 but saw as opportunity to get ahead of curve
THREAD:
Arguments for & against playing an early wildcard. For the purposes of the thread an early wildcard is defined as used in the first 8 gameweeks.
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Think I'm wildcarding
Should mean no hits between 26-30
FH in 27
BB in 28
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Hazard & Salah captaincy gives you
22 - NEW
23 - CPL
24 - LEI
25 - HUD
26 - BOU
27 - BHA
28 - WAT
29 - ful
30 - BUR
The updated captaincy forecast 🙌🏼
Selling Auba for Mo doesn’t seem so scary 😮
Option to Hokey Cokey with Kane around GW26 🤔
#Salahssential
😬
Pogba gets a slot in the forecast following the return of a rejuvenated Utd
Could Kak or Alexis feature?
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Bruno without pens won't be worth 12m imo
So far he has 384 points in 54 matches = 7.1 points per match
65 points were penalties, most of which helped him pick up bonus
So if we conservatively guess that 80 points were due to pens, this means he will get 5.6ppm
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