GCR
@GiganticRebirth
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The pseudonymous crypto trader
@GiganticRebirth
was feeling bearish at the market top last November. This is how his
@RebirthDAO
shorted the market crash.
@0x_bae
reports.
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English poet Thomas Howell used to have an old idiom; don't count your chickens before they hatch
I have acquired the 120,000 LUNA shares necessary to cover "risk" associated with the 20 million USD in escrow pending March 2023 price
Final cost basis to cover: 72 cents
Crypto trader
@GiganticRebirth
doubles down on $10 million bet with Do Kwon through LUNA short position
By
@OsatoNomayo
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Ironically, most bullish path for $DOGE would be for twitter to never actually integrate it into anything
Would be for Musk to tease, hint, meme, riddle, joke, that there was a master plan for years; allow people's imaginations to go wild
We call it the Hoskinson; never deliver
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You should be sacrificing your weekends to give everything you have to harvesting all possible yield out of this market
Oh, you're 22 and want to have fun with your friends?
You will never have such easy opportunities for generational wealth even if you live another 80 years.
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Interested in same bet for 10 million dollars [considered offering 50 million, but escrow becomes tricky]
Would donate half to charity
Expect price to pump short term, but in 1 year, supremely confident the current narrative is lost
@stablekwon
Edited*
Who wants to take a $1000000 bet that $luna will be lower price in 1 year than now?
@stablekwon
@CryptoHarry_
@ZeMariaMacedo
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When news impacts the price, market participants often fixate on whether it's true or not true.
More often than not, the actual veracity of the headline is immaterial.
It's how the market reacts to the news, and for how long, that turns out to be a lot more informative.
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Update on "the bet": Since my 20 million wasn't able to be matched on $LUNA
I made the bet by myself with derivatives
Since
@cobie
has tweeted he is setting up multisig
We owe it to the culture to put some actual real size/conviction on this bet, as was initial spirit
Offering to double this up to 20 million with
@stablekwon
I will match/donate 1 milli to
@angelprotocol
charity if he accepts
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I hope. for the sake of the industry, that the final piece of my prophecy does not unfold
These predictions were made in 2021 at 50k, so don't assume it's going to bottom tick some precise number; it's always darkest before the dawn
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What bear market?
We just do a little inverse investing when traders begin to imagine it's a new paradigm again
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Pair trading was an abandoned art discarded in the indiscriminate bull market
When you long strength against collapse, you win on both sides
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They told me not to short the future of finance
They're building a new reality in the metaverse
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accepted
10 million sent to DAO wallet
@GiganticRebirth
@KChargecat
@bitachon_XBT
@cobie
Oh okay cool fine fine
Lets keep mark price though? Feel like thats more of the “same bet”
Feel free to deposit
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Since
@cobie
has tweeted he is setting up multisig
We owe it to the culture to put some actual real size/conviction on this bet, as was initial spirit
Offering to double this up to 20 million with
@stablekwon
I will match/donate 1 milli to
@angelprotocol
charity if he accepts
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Cleanse your mind of your peak net worth
Expunge
eternal sunshine of the spotless mind
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@Aftertilt
When 95% of traders are anticipating a sell the news event, it's almost always going to buy what I've referred to in the past as, "inverse sell the news"
Lot of people sidelined with fear of an event are forced to fomo back in
Sell the news happens when it's unexepected
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Went long on $ETH again yesterday once it became clear to me there would be no "sell the news" on EIP 1559
As a large player, it's difficult to scale your exposure to the NFT sector without the laborious work of flipping Robotos or mooncats all day; might as well just long $ETH
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Haven't logged into this shadowbanned account in awhile
Lot of DMs asking if I died
For those that didn't know
I've been tweeting on
@GCRClassic
for an entire year
Peace Be Upon You
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Impressive achievement in decentralized coordination
Many will not fully appreciate the level of difficulty in what was accomplished
ICYMI: Ethereum activates The Merge as it shifts to proof of stake
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Market is going to get much more efficient in 2022 with influx of talent pouring in
Total marketcap could rise and wud still anticipate ppl make less money due to heightened competition from every Ivy grad now realizing this is the arena
Sharpen your blade if you have an edge
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@Cryptomodollas
high confidence interval that we're very late in the cycle
[and that cycles still exist]
secure your freedom if you've won it
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Turns out your goblincoins were doomed, and I was obligated to short them into stonehenge
22 shitcoins shorts [and plenty more on Binance], most of them share some common attributes; positions blurred to save you from copytrading and getting liquidated on 20% rallies
your particular coins are probably doomed though, and im probably shorting them
important to remember that although btceth fully recovered their Q2 corrections, only ~20% of alts got back to May levels [per research analyst]
new coins, new narratives, new rotations, more supply
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Someone longs 9 figures of litecone, bribes some broke reporters to tweet some fake news [prob cost 100k], makes generational wealth
Surprised it doesn't happen more
Absolute mayhem, market turned to full blown scam in minutes
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imagine a world where you could long or short the networth, earnings, valuation, and growth of other individuals [not corporations]
now a shareholder in other people; identifying [+ cultivating] under the radar talent, or flipping bearish on someone as you sense they had peaked
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Volatile day in the markets
Bitcoin sold off heavily with equities on hotter than expected CPI
Heavy sell off in LUNC on news that Terraform CEO Do Kwon faces arrest warrant in South Korea
Update on my positions [ + fully out of my modest LUNA 2.0 short for now, ~$2.5]
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Easy million and I'm out
Tree of life [actually, no]
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After speaking to the group, one of the side effects of me buying up the supply, is that sad pengu members are priced out
To correct this, I will be giving away PENGUs every week for the next month; Looking for community members who cant afford, but wont flip it
#NewProfilePic
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Can't believe they let me short the top of LUNA [Classic] again, 6 months after the original
But all good investments must one day be realized
Total funding: $878,600.04
GCR has been liquidated
Crypto trader
@GiganticRebirth
doubles down on $10 million bet with Do Kwon through LUNA short position
By
@OsatoNomayo
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The best traders in the game will always prioritize their intuition over apophenia
You don't like that answer?
Intuition isn't exotic enough to satisfy your curiosity?
It's the truth, and there is no other truth
I can't teach it to you, but you can find edge
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The shibbening; I'm a man of my word
Going to leave room to add to this if it keeps running
Let's spice things up
If I'm ever forced to close this position for a loss, in the history of capitalism or great ape society; I will make a 7 figure donation to the FTX foundation
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DOGE used to be a fun : community driven coin, but now only haunts bag holders, desperately waiting for a narcissistic billionaire to pump it with tweets
Many 2021 holders are not even aware of the legend of Kabosu
$DOGE needs a reset, and to shed association with Mister Musk
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[1] People underestimate the power of a generational meme
Few understand that $DOGE was actually the first NFT; a jpeg of an cute shiba inu [not an actual project], and the saliency of this cuteness pumped it to 100 bill cap because it was FUN [and fostered inclusive community
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Compare the market cap of NFT projects to some prominent meme tokens
-SHIBA reached 60 billion cap at peak
-Not a single NFT has a 1 billion dollar cap [exception BAYC]
Altcoins 2.0 seem overvalued relative to NFT growth; I predict tokenization of NFTs to eat into alt2 volume
Prediction
NFT communities issue governance tokens [$PENGU] that accrue the benefits of mass adoption; this will inject tremendous liquidity to the projects giving both whales/ retails incentive to trade it; rn not liquid enough for whales, and priced out for retail
$PENGU
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Super bullish on virtual real estate, but waiting on something hip
Something that feels exclusive, thats a massive flex, + affords people networking opportunities in a cool 'hood
Ppl will rotate 'proof of flex' from pfp NFTs, more than acre of land in p2e
DAO/metaverse hybrid
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Looking to scale out of my remaining SHIB short around these levels, although I would forecast a 90-95+% correction in 2022
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4th of July financial advice
Long trump, short DeSantis for the 2024 republican nomination
wherever you can source liquidity [BetFair, online bookies such as ladbrokes/paddypower; PredictIt;
crypto sources Augur, Polymarket, Kalshi, etc]
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@Tree_of_Alpha
@cz_binanc
is not their enemy
Predatory youtubers sold them the idea that a 4 billon USD cap chain could still do another 5000x ROI to $1, in the depths of a bear market when retail has little spare capital; to hit a market cap of 20 trillion USD; 60x the size of Saudi Aramco
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This is going to be triggering to many, possibly unsavory
But many whales I speak to, are honestly bored of making money, exhausted by ze bull market
They want it to end so they can move on to more satisfying pursuits;sometimes only subconsciously
Predict from this what u wish
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dont get stuck in your biases
bull market, bear market
there's always thousands of coins in a bear market
and a few dozen to hundred in a bull market
2018 and 2019 were great years for me
it's still not time for you to rest grasshopper
not until the volatility dies
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@knowerofmarkets
what ive been telling ppl for weeks
the greatest threat to any successful project is its own success
success breeds imitation, and this is a mercenary industry that will ruthlessly move to derivatives of original chasing higher upside [from VCs to traders to ultimately retail]
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Looking to hire someone to research upcoming distribution schedules, unlocks, and vesting schedules for dozens of coins on the market
Send me a DM if you believe you can find precision information
Most interested in tokens distributing most supply first 3 and 6 months of 2022
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Two ways to view a short
1 A trade
2 'Inverse investment'
If confidence interval for 1yr price > 95%, will 'invest' + not concern myself with short term gyrations
I've chosen to 'invest' in $PEOPLE at 9c; squeeze to ATH is possible, but my investment is with a great company
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not hard to forecast we will be seeing this for nearly all major exchanges by mid 2022
BREAKING: Korean crypto exchange Coinone will no longer allow withdrawals to unverified external wallets (via
@Yogita_Khatri5
)
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@Tree_of_Alpha
@cz_binanc
Classy Crypto, Crypto King, Claybro, and other former $SHIB to $1 shillers; they sold you out on a fairy tale to cynically farm engagement to monetize ad revenue, before they'll move on to the next low unit lottery ticket in a few months
Direct your anger at your true enemies
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note, some of the quotes from the interview are now old
Crypto trader
@GiganticRebirth
doubles down on $10 million bet with Do Kwon through LUNA short position
By
@OsatoNomayo
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I had always assumed they were hedging it on betfair
One of my highest conviction trades, TRUMP2024
Massively illiquid on FTX, so we've been accumulating via Alameda OTC and other sources since around 0.10/10c
Biggest risk to this trade is a myocardial infarction, but otherwise programmed for 0.65c
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One of my highest conviction trades, TRUMP2024
Massively illiquid on FTX, so we've been accumulating via Alameda OTC and other sources since around 0.10/10c
Biggest risk to this trade is a myocardial infarction, but otherwise programmed for 0.65c
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80 hour work weeks are rookie numbers; if you're not putting in ~126 hours a week right now, you fail to understand the moment you're in [nor the opportunity].
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Prediction
NFT communities issue governance tokens [$PENGU] that accrue the benefits of mass adoption; this will inject tremendous liquidity to the projects giving both whales/ retails incentive to trade it; rn not liquid enough for whales, and priced out for retail
$PENGU
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@PinguinXbt
@bryptobricks
@voidfinality
@Tree_of_Alpha
@cz_binanc
Go to local bodega on lotto Friday; find old men who've been playing weekly for decades w/o ever sniffing a winning ticket
Why do they come back? $50 monthly for a scratch off is worth the cost to inject some hope into the tedium of wage week
Crypto invented next-gen scratch
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No matter how many times they see it play out, people continue to underestimate the gravitational power of the LOW UNIT BIAS effect on "retail"
Most powerful magnet in crypto
Why would any person in sound mind, buy 100 cones, when they could own a million?
Cheapest coin on CB
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If you're looking for advice as to where to find safety
The same advice I gave last week, is where I currently stand; shame my shadowban prevented more people from seeing it
@HeieneMarius
I think people should store their funds with
BNY Mellon Custody
Fidelity Digital Assets
self custody if they're smart, disciplined, and put in the time to learn how to avoid hacks; but think North Korea will eventually crack many
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Your girl wants you to make more money, to be more ambitious
Don't make her slide in my DMs
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I know I'm supposed to feign humility, strike a populist pose and empathize with everyone's losses
But I think it's useful to remember there's someone on the other side of your trades
Sorry I had to do it to you
Philanthropy DAO coming soon [serious]
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my inverse investment is with a great company
Two ways to view a short
1 A trade
2 'Inverse investment'
If confidence interval for 1yr price > 95%, will 'invest' + not concern myself with short term gyrations
I've chosen to 'invest' in $PEOPLE at 9c; squeeze to ATH is possible, but my investment is with a great company
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Nayib Bukele's carefully calibrated social media persona [from the tik tok populism to yolo'ing shitcoins] is only meant to distract from his embrace of autocracy
The world’s coolest dictator is only interested in accumulating one currency; power
It's all a meme
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Mark Cuban has a net worth of 4 billion, but the Dallas Mavericks are worth 3 billion alone
charismatic guy with a big tv show, glad he's in crypto, but not sure
@mcuban
has made money since rugging Yahoo 20 years ago
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Alexa, what month is it?
took healthy amount of profits
still expecting dec/jan alt blood
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[1] A story about last night
About 24 hours ago, I sensed a Pengu revolution was brewing and decided I wanted to buy 500 at ~ 0.5 eth floor
This created a problem tho; how to buy 500 pengus without brewing up a storm?
I reached out to
@IvanBogatyy
at
@Mining_DAO
to work it out
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Justin Sun adopting the Terra playbook to launch an algo stable with higher yield than Luna is just about the most preordained timeline
Many have already forgotten Sun was the first mover with L1 EVM in '20 defi summer with JustSwap
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only modest gains tbh
sestagalli szn?
Just waiting for
@GiganticRebirth
to drop a SS of some ungodly PnL on sushi and spell….
We’re ngmi…
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Many have already been getting hammered for months
We've been shorting $OXY since $2 in the DAO as part of
#the
-big-short [many of the Solana ecosystem tokens we flagged as the worst offenders]
Definition of down only on this chart [why?]; simple glance at these metrics
So many poorly designed unlocks are are happening this year, a lot of popular alts will likely get hammered.
2022 will be the year that humbles everyone who said FDV or tokenomics are a meme
TA won’t save you from a shitty emission curve crushing your project
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Feeling hopeless, despondent; like you squandered months or years of hard work and lost it all?
Give me your stories, I'm going to give a few people back some of the money the market took
Looking for people who will have learned a lesson and come back stronger. No scams
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i do not believe shib will be able to flip doge on any meaningful timeframe [could happen on a wick, or very short burst]
as the marketcaps converge, an obvious trade will unfold before you
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TP on majority of [liquid] shorts, and taking my first trading sabbatical in a half decade
The lows on majority of alts are not yet in; will reassess the most optimal plays after pilgrimage
Follow
@GCRClassic
for non trading related shitposts
Follow
@rebirthdao
for DAO updates
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I'm just getting started building a 8 figure short
See you at 0.000051 cents
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"Dump it two hours before EIP-1559 so they think it's a sell the news event"
"They sold?"
"Pump it to 10k"
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cleanse your mind of your ....
@BowTiedBuru
Post merge, and with SPX showing sustained inability to hold 4000, I'm comfortable being naked short on shitcoins without a hedge
Fully scaled out of BTC position, still max short on LUNC and other alts
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Liquidations are a forced transfer of wealth from impoverished traders who need leverage - to wealthy spot buyers.
Did you capitalize?
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Alexa, what month is it?
took healthy amount of profits
still expecting dec/jan alt blood
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was layer 1 season built on a house of cards, driven by unsustainable farming incentives and rewards, memed into the narrative of a multichain future no one really needs or wants [some exceptions]?
i only pose questions, ultimately you decide
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Surprisingly well written briefing
Time is a flat circle
$LUNC has tumbled from $0.00058 to $0.00033 since September 8.
@GiganticRebirth
believes it still has a long way to go.
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the market cap of the APE token [6 billion/22b fd] now far eclipses the total cap of BAYC [4 billion]; and is also doing far more volume than alt2 tokens
Compare the market cap of NFT projects to some prominent meme tokens
-SHIBA reached 60 billion cap at peak
-Not a single NFT has a 1 billion dollar cap [exception BAYC]
Altcoins 2.0 seem overvalued relative to NFT growth; I predict tokenization of NFTs to eat into alt2 volume
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bounced right off that $10 meme support as expected
but not fully a meme; hard round numbers are obvious convergence points on nebulously valued, reflexive assets; respect the schelling point
Fully out of $APE short now, as I expect $10 schelling point support to be defended
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@stablekwon
@cobie
24hr average of the 14th of march in 2023 [same as Algod terms], on liquid exchanges to prevent wick
settlement price $92.4
and bet is void if there is a redenomination to manipulate price despite cratering market cap
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@defi_degen__
@ThinkingBitmex
I think it's pretty well known I went long and strong during last week's capitulation;
I'm a trader; 'if i think a trend has been carried to excess, i may probe going against it'
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your particular coins are probably doomed though, and im probably shorting them
important to remember that although btceth fully recovered their Q2 corrections, only ~20% of alts got back to May levels [per research analyst]
new coins, new narratives, new rotations, more supply
dont get stuck in your biases
bull market, bear market
there's always thousands of coins in a bear market
and a few dozen to hundred in a bull market
2018 and 2019 were great years for me
it's still not time for you to rest grasshopper
not until the volatility dies
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remember when I tweeted this at the height of shitcoin exuberance in november
probably thought to yourself, "whales trying to psyops me into selling my meme tokens so they can accumulate cheap"
lot of tokens already down 50-70%
@Cryptomodollas
high confidence interval that we're very late in the cycle
[and that cycles still exist]
secure your freedom if you've won it
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Are you confused as to why $SHIB finally broke out after months of consolidation, anon?
Let me attempt an explanatory 'twitter thread' on 1 hour of sleep
[1]
[a] As soon as coinbase listed it, I knew it was inevitable, and was pretty vocal about it, both in groups and twitter
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Haven't really been trading that much, been focused on my life, so here's a mediocre weekly PNL thing to remind you I'm still alive
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[2]
In reality, theres dozens of other coins with similar setups outside SOL
1-This is PvP season
2-The Stanfords are coming
Youre only go to be rewarded for rigorous research and contrarian insights; you have to shed a lot of the habits you acquired the past year and level up
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I hate to spoil the mood, it's more fun to be full raging bull, but I want my followers to retire, achieve financial freedom, get girlfriends [multiple, even 3], thrive, learn to love
It wouldn't be a bad idea to take some profit on $SHIB around these levels
$0.00003 resistance
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Always tell people not to copytrade, but if you did, curious if anyone lost money entering anything mentioned
And if so, how? 100% of non leveraged positions should have been winners for you
Public positions
Longs: ETH, $DOGE, SHIB, $PENGU
Shorts: $TRU, $IOTX, ACH, FLOW
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this isn't going to be popular, but think it's important to drive home; trading losses don't compare to full hack
and if you're going to self custody, put heavy duty hours into research
Strongly, strongly believe vast majority of people are safer letting reputable tier-1 exchanges hold their digital assets [as opposed to self custody]
Hackers will only get increasingly sophisticated, and it only takes one moment for you to slip
Have echoed this for years
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@bryptobricks
@voidfinality
@Tree_of_Alpha
@cz_binanc
honest answer
retail heavy coins often hyped for months due to some 'future catalyst' leading to orgy of blowoff buying as event horizon approaches
just as retail imagines meme catalyst will make them millionaires, market makers use the cascade of final liquidity to distribute
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no need to be bearish on BTC when longterm outlook is bright + SoV narrative holds
if you want to know what im bearish on, read my last 200 tweets; much cleaner rr
doesnt mean it wont nuke, but BTC permabears rarely close bottom
would rather short your inflationary goblincoins
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Likely inevitable youll catch covid given rampant transmissibility of Omicron variant
I am by no means antivax, but you should also strive to get yourself in the best physical/mental condition
~10% of young people developing long covid/chronic COVID syndrome
Juice immune sys
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$SHIB casually doing double the volume of bitcoin, triple the volume of ethereum, and literally, 10x the volume of any "altcoin" [$SOL] on coinbase
L1s, bridges, defi perps, nft tokens...
What do the people really want?
Doggo stocks
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Fully exited all positions [for now], as the long DOGE, short SHIB on flippening trade satisfied profit target
Focused on continuing to accumulate less known dog and [even cat] stocks, but have not been tweeting these since theyre illiquid
Note, do not risk > 1-2% of net worth
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Nearly 8 months since this prediction, NFT projects are realizing tokenization is the path towards liquidity, volume, and maximum profit
Prediction
NFT communities issue governance tokens [$PENGU] that accrue the benefits of mass adoption; this will inject tremendous liquidity to the projects giving both whales/ retails incentive to trade it; rn not liquid enough for whales, and priced out for retail
$PENGU
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Took care of this fine young man's cancer debt and treatment bills
Send him some more money so he can have some luxury after what he's been through
And take note, to the DMs I get about your trading losses; I'm sympathetic, but these are the type of stories I'm looking for.
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@bryptobricks
@voidfinality
@Tree_of_Alpha
@cz_binanc
publicly shorted the picotops of
-SHIB [flippening of DOGE]
-DOGE [Musk on SNL]
-metaverse hype apotheosis [GAL, SAND, MANA
-original Luna
-LUNC
and, more broadly, the entire '20-2021 crypto bubble, and more broadly, decade long macro asset bubble in q4 2021
how? astrology
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Future forecast + prediction
- Stephen Breyer will announce his retirement from the Supreme Court [around summer]
- 𝘒𝘦𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘫𝘪 𝘉𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘑𝘢𝘤𝘬𝘴𝘰𝘯
will be nominated by Joseph R Biden to replace him
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