Fly Value Bets
@FlyValueBets
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Data-driven Football Models to Find Value | 195.9u Profit, 40.0% ROI since Aug 2024 | FPL model
Joined February 2024
๐ Pre-season outrights are flying ๐ป All odds have plummeted since I tipped them from my model Now converted into new ModelSim, running game-by-game sims to find value every week๐ All bets in telegram: Free group: https://t.co/aQOlTGK6Ho Premium: https://t.co/SLUxZYTTnS
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League 2025/26 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ฐ BEST OUTRIGHT BETS ๐ฐ ๐ป All based on 10,000 simulations results (posted below) #PremierLeague #LFC #CPFC #LUFC #WHU #BHAFC
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๐ Who are this season's biggest over- and under-performers so far? ๐ป Weโve compared post-match Expected Points vs Actual Points from this season ๐ Is it luck or performance based? All xPoints based on my model #FPL #FPLCommunity
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๐จ GW12โ15 Planning Thread ๐จ Fixtures are shifting, AFCON is coming, and the next 4 GWs could define your season. Iโve looked at fixtures, midfielders, defenders, and forwards โ plus a few hot takes from my projection model ๐ข Letโs dive in ๐
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OUR MLS CARD DOUBLE LANDS๐บ๐ธ We backed both singles too๐คฉ ๐ฐ0.5u @ 34.00โ
๐ฐ0.5u @ 6.50โ
๐ฐ0.5u @ 5.50โ
+ ModelSim gets another winner @ 9.32๐ That brings us to +27.38u (+35% ROI) for November ๐ฅ Free group ๐ https://t.co/lIEhBbFJgO
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BOOOOOOM!! WE PICKED UP PLENTY OF TOP WINNERS YESTERDAY! ๐ฅ Make sure to join the FREE Telegram group for more ๐ฅ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2ETAV
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๐ป FPL Model - Best GW11 Free Hit ๐ xPoints - 73.24 ยฉ๏ธ Captain - Haaland (LIV) (team screenshot from @fplteam_ | xPoints from my model) #FPL #FreeHit #FPLCommunity
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We have an UNREAL looking bet builder for the Crystal Palace v AZ match ๐ ๐ฅ Join the FREE Telegram group to unlock it now ๐ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2ETAV
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BOOOOOM! WE LANDED 4/5 TIPS LAST NIGHT! ๐ฅ Join the FREE Telegram group to unlock of todayโs bets ๐ฅ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2Frqt
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141/1 MEGA BET BUILDER FOR THE LIVERPOOL V REAL MADRID IS HERE! ๐คฉ Join the FREE Telegram group to unlock it now ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2ETAV
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๐คฉ ITโS ANOTHER MODELSIM WINNER ๐ฐ 0.5u @ 10.08 โ
๐ Since we created this model, our accas have returned a +31% ROI over 59 bets ๐ฏ Our data model is smashing the bookies ๐ Thereโs 2 more games tonight, free group below: https://t.co/8r8rAKwity
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๐ฅ WHAT A DAY ๐ Just some of yesterdayโs winners posted below, including a 36.00 (35/1) card double! ๐ +24.54u (+195% ROI) yesterdayโ
+46.17u (+51% ROI) last 2 weeksโ
Donโt miss todayโs picks, posted in our free group โคต๏ธ https://t.co/aQOlTGK6Ho
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โช๏ธ Tottenham vs Chelsea ๐ต ๐ป Model Cheat Sheet All bets in my telegram: Free: https://t.co/I1WOmSeRVJ
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๐ป FPL Model - Best GW10 Free Hit ๐ xPoints - 76.68 ยฉ๏ธ Captain - Haaland (BOU) (team screenshot from @fplteam_ | xPoints from my model) #FPL #FreeHit #FPLCommunity
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Another great night ๐ A ModelSim double and a Championship winner!โ
๐ฐ 1u @ 3.10 โ
๐ฐ 0.75u @ 5.50โ
๐ฐ 1u @ 2.92 โ
ModelSim bets were posted in free group ๐ซก Get todayโs bets ๐ https://t.co/8r8rAKvKE0
ITS ANOTHER NFL WIN ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฐ1.25u @ 3.25 Our NFL bets this season: โข 26 Bets โข +16.72u profit โ
โข +80.55% ROI โ
Weโre destroying the bookies this season ๐ This was posted in our free group last night! ๐ซก ๐ https://t.co/vHrnmOkTs3
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BOOOOOM!! WE LANDED A COUPLE OF TOP WINNERS TODAY! ๐ฅ Make sure to join the FREE Telegram group for all of the weekendโs action ๐ฅ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2ETAV
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ITS ANOTHER NFL WIN ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฐ1.25u @ 3.25 Our NFL bets this season: โข 26 Bets โข +16.72u profit โ
โข +80.55% ROI โ
Weโre destroying the bookies this season ๐ This was posted in our free group last night! ๐ซก ๐ https://t.co/vHrnmOkTs3
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โฝ๏ธ FRIDAY TIPS โฝ๏ธ - Mixed Double ๐ Join the FREE Telegram group to unlock all of this weekendโs action ๐ ๐ https://t.co/5DLrF2ETAV
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GW10 is here ๐ ๐งต - Triple Arsenal defense? - Best 3x Palace combo? - Man United assets worth a punt? All that and more in this weekโs deep dive ๐ #FPLCommunity #GW10
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ANOTHER MLS NIGHT, ANOTHER WIN ๐บ๐ธ Our model is on fire!! ๐ฅ ๐ฐ1u @ 2.05 โ
๐ฐ0.6u @ 5.00 โ
The MLS is back tonight!! Youโd be crazy to miss it ๐คทโโ๏ธ Free group: https://t.co/lIEhBbFJgO
WHAT A NIGHT ๐คฉ ๐ช๐ธ La Liga full house โ
๐บ๐ธ MLS double โ
๐ NFL bet lands again โ
Weโre on a 71.33% ROI in the NFL this season (26 bets)๐ฅ Thereโs more MLS tonight ๐๐บ๐ธ Free group ๐ https://t.co/lIEhBbFJgO
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๐จ Moving forwards or backwards in FPL and the sunk cost fallacy ๐จ - Pedro and Gyok, what do we even do now? - And who comes in next Letโs dive in ๐โฝ๏ธ Thread๐งต
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WHAT A NIGHT ๐คฉ ๐ช๐ธ La Liga full house โ
๐บ๐ธ MLS double โ
๐ NFL bet lands again โ
Weโre on a 71.33% ROI in the NFL this season (26 bets)๐ฅ Thereโs more MLS tonight ๐๐บ๐ธ Free group ๐ https://t.co/lIEhBbFJgO
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