DeFi Rate
@DeFiRate
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Analytics resource for all things #DeFi and Prediction Markets
San Francisco, CA
Joined July 2019
The #GoldenGlobes air at 8pm ET tonight and odds are on the move at @Kalshi. Meanwhile, @Polymarket just partnered with the Golden Globes to provide official market insights, but GG and other cultural markets remain global-only (for now). Polymarket US promises customers "more
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Big news - we now have Kalshi, Polymarket AND Gemini data integrated into our predictions market tracker. More to come as we continue to expand and build a unified view of real-time event odds across as many venues as possible. 🔥 @Kalshi @Polymarket @Gemini ✅Volume-weighted
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Billionaires are moving out of California, but what are the odds the proposed 5% California Wealth Tax will actually pass? Prediction markets give us some hints 👇 https://t.co/13yzGeDD6u
defirate.com
With passage uncertain, ultra-wealthy Californians are already moving out of state and adjusting business ties ahead of a possible retroactive 5% billionaire tax.
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Ambiguous resolution criteria resulted in yet another controversial market settlement at Polymarket, this time Venezuela. When is an invasion not an invasion? Irate traders on Polymarket want to know. 👇 https://t.co/ia5cUcNptq
defirate.com
Ambiguous resolution criteria resulted in a controversial market settlement, upsetting several Polymarket traders.
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Google will begin allowing regulated prediction markets to run Google Ads, classifying them as financial products, not gambling. https://t.co/1VCTDHjk6R
defirate.com
Google will begin allowing regulated prediction markets to run Google Ads, classifying them as financial products, not gambling.
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Polymarket quietly updated its documentation today to enable taker-only fees on 15-minute crypto up/down markets. Here's a breakdown of how it works. https://t.co/rMZVpVBrxy
defirate.com
The new Polymarket fees intend to improve liquidity and discourage bot trading in popular crypto trading markets.
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With the new 90% gambling loss deduction cap now in effect, where will you move your action in 2026? Or will you? We spoke to a few professional bettors and accountants about the One Big Beautiful Bill and potential migration to prediction markets in Nov. Here's that story:
defirate.com
While debate intensifies about whether trading on prediction markets is betting or investing, many gamblers intend to lean on the latter.
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DraftKings Predictions is live in 38 states. It will be interesting to see if it can compete with Polymarket or Kalshi. We expected more from DK... https://t.co/6FisxPaLWC
defirate.com
DraftKings Predictions sports and finance markets will route through CME Group, the same exchange FanDuel will use. The app lacks what Kalshi and Polymarket bring to the table.
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Prediction markets event tracker aggregating Kalshi + Polymarket in real-time: live demo here using the 2026 Super Bowl: https://t.co/viYfRCXUh2 âś… Volume-weighted consensus pricing âś… Arbitrage scanner with after-fee calculations âś…Probability charts (24H/7D/30D/YTD) showing
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🚨 Bitnomial just got CFTC clearinghouse (DCO) approval for prediction markets. Key differentiators: Only US clearinghouse accepting crypto as margin collateral Cross-product margining (offset prediction bets against actual crypto futures) Clears trades for other platforms,
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Coinbase joins Kalshi and Crypto to form a trade group "dedicated to preserving safe, transparent, and federally supervised access to prediction markets". https://t.co/cVAawnzN0T
defirate.com
Five major prediction market operators—Kalshi, Crypto.com, Robinhood, Coinbase and Underdog—launched the Coalition for Prediction Markets on Thursday.
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Gondor is launching a lending protocol that lets you borrow against your Polymarket positions. Would you use it? https://t.co/o7y3dsNoUD
#gondorfi #Polymarket
defirate.com
Gondor is betting it can build the missing financial layer for on-chain prediction markets—starting with lending against Polymarket positions.
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