DeFi Rate
@DeFiRate
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Analytics resource for all things #DeFi and Prediction Markets
San Francisco, CA
Joined July 2019
Not all viewers were thrilled about @Polymarket odds integrations at the #GoldenGlobes2026, but it got people talking about prediction markets in ways they haven’t before in mainstream culture. CEO Shayne Coplan called it "The single most mainstream prediction market integration
defirate.com
The debut of Polymarket probabilities on Sunday’s Golden Globes broadcast put the brand in front of millions of viewers
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The records keep coming for @Kalshi and @Polymarket as both set new weekly highs in notional volume. -Kalshi: ~$2.01 billion (+1.7% WoW) Polymarket: ~$1.50 billion (+4.1% WoW) -Large WoW increases in transactions too. Polymarket: ~11.4 million (+17%) Kalshi: ~11.1 million
SIX ALL-TIME HIGHS 🤯 Absolutely insane weekend for @Kalshi. Saturday: $455.4M in Notional Volume and 2.3M transactions Sunday: $455.4M in Notional Volume, 2.37M transactions and $82M in Parlay Volume They closed their first $2B notional volume week and crossed 125M
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CEBA applauds @Meta on its latest commitment to clean energy procurement: 6.6 GW of clean, reliable nuclear power. This investment is one of the largest clean energy purchases in U.S. history. Meta's announcement builds on momentum from 2025, when CEBA members procured more than
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Lawmakers are reviving efforts to rein in prediction markets by re-introducing the ORACLE Act for the 2026 legislative session. The bill's sponsor, Assemblyman Clyde Vanel told DeFiRate: “We’re excited about the new opportunity and the opportunity that prediction markets
defirate.com
ORACLE Act sponsor says bill strives to “make sure that Wall Street stays on Wall Street and Vegas stays in Vegas”
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The #GoldenGlobes air at 8pm ET tonight and odds are on the move at @Kalshi. Meanwhile, @Polymarket just partnered with the Golden Globes to provide official market insights, but GG and other cultural markets remain global-only (for now). Polymarket US promises customers "more
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Big news - we now have Kalshi, Polymarket AND Gemini data integrated into our predictions market tracker. More to come as we continue to expand and build a unified view of real-time event odds across as many venues as possible. 🔥 @Kalshi @Polymarket @Gemini ✅Volume-weighted
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Billionaires are moving out of California, but what are the odds the proposed 5% California Wealth Tax will actually pass? Prediction markets give us some hints 👇 https://t.co/13yzGeDD6u
defirate.com
With passage uncertain, ultra-wealthy Californians are already moving out of state and adjusting business ties ahead of a possible retroactive 5% billionaire tax.
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Ambiguous resolution criteria resulted in yet another controversial market settlement at Polymarket, this time Venezuela. When is an invasion not an invasion? Irate traders on Polymarket want to know. 👇 https://t.co/ia5cUcNptq
defirate.com
Ambiguous resolution criteria resulted in a controversial market settlement, upsetting several Polymarket traders.
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Google will begin allowing regulated prediction markets to run Google Ads, classifying them as financial products, not gambling. https://t.co/1VCTDHjk6R
defirate.com
Google will begin allowing regulated prediction markets to run Google Ads, classifying them as financial products, not gambling.
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Polymarket quietly updated its documentation today to enable taker-only fees on 15-minute crypto up/down markets. Here's a breakdown of how it works. https://t.co/rMZVpVBrxy
defirate.com
The new Polymarket fees intend to improve liquidity and discourage bot trading in popular crypto trading markets.
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With the new 90% gambling loss deduction cap now in effect, where will you move your action in 2026? Or will you? We spoke to a few professional bettors and accountants about the One Big Beautiful Bill and potential migration to prediction markets in Nov. Here's that story:
defirate.com
While debate intensifies about whether trading on prediction markets is betting or investing, many gamblers intend to lean on the latter.
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DraftKings Predictions is live in 38 states. It will be interesting to see if it can compete with Polymarket or Kalshi. We expected more from DK... https://t.co/6FisxPaLWC
defirate.com
DraftKings Predictions sports and finance markets will route through CME Group, the same exchange FanDuel will use. The app lacks what Kalshi and Polymarket bring to the table.
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Prediction markets event tracker aggregating Kalshi + Polymarket in real-time: live demo here using the 2026 Super Bowl: https://t.co/viYfRCXUh2 ✅ Volume-weighted consensus pricing ✅ Arbitrage scanner with after-fee calculations ✅Probability charts (24H/7D/30D/YTD) showing
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🚨 Bitnomial just got CFTC clearinghouse (DCO) approval for prediction markets. Key differentiators: Only US clearinghouse accepting crypto as margin collateral Cross-product margining (offset prediction bets against actual crypto futures) Clears trades for other platforms,
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