The Fantasy Doctor PhD
@DFS_PhD
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PhD from Caltech. I want to talk more about math than you do. KNOW YOUR METRICS. IMPROVE YOUR PROCESS. Semifinal ToC 2024, bonedog84 on DK
Joined June 2023
Well kind of a good news bad news day. Good news, it was my best NFL performance since end of 2022-2023 season playoffs (thanks @SaberSim). Bad news, it would have won a million. At least second and third also would have, and didnt get even this ridiculous 34000x ROI lol.
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(As a person who gambles it would not surprise me for someone to check on the status of their bets during their day job. Thats why we gamble.)
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(Another way to read the data is that this is a closer who has insane stuff and knows a first pitch strike is the easiest to aim at so he often throws a first pitch ball. This would be something bettors track. You can infer whatever, but you can’t argue he was ineffective.)
In an interview held by director of CDN deportes Frank Camilo, reporter Luis Hernández, good friend of Emmanuel Clase, affirms that Clase has stated that the calls intercepted by the FBI were for rooster fighting and not related to illegal bets. Clase remains in Río San Juan,
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Anyway there’s an entire community out here that would love to relitigate every steal and block attribution, so doing that behind closed doors 15-90 minutes after the slate with no discussion or explanation is… well its ignoring one audience (us) for another (books).
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New recommended follow. I’m sure that all of these recent scorekeeping errors are DEFINITELY in good faith. Not like the official scorekeepers are paid nothing and have no oversight. Get ready for the most frustrating stat correction season ever.
STAT ERROR🚨11/10 Cavs vs Heat🏀 At 5:12 in the 4Q Hunter attempts an AND 1 free throw and makes it But the books give Jaylen Tyson the free throw⁉️ Legit how does this even happen? REPOST to spread the word🗣️
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Should have found the optimal defense % when I went looking. Got lazy and unclicked. Figured we couldnt get worse showdowns than recently. 0-0 at halftime.
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That sucked from beginning to end and I also went 0/35……
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The only thing I know for sure about Terry and Jontay is they lost sportsbooks an amount of money that sportsbooks deemed “too much”. In Jontay’s case, they ignored a properly reported injury (had no comment on the under in the game jjj poked his eye) and posted a bad line.
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Anyway, zero people have pled guilty yet and nobody has been found guilty in court, so really weird assumptions being made about all the guys who didnt even have smoking gun text message puppy faces (Rozier and Jontay).
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Is the FBI fully in sportsbook pockets? Does every loss over $X lead to a players complete loss of privacy? What percentage of investigations have led to charges? Has every single players texts been read by their managers? Because I assume players text their agents too?
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People who are only tangentially aware of the amount of sportsbetting are really comforted by the (very few) people being caught, and not thinking enough about how frequently the mechanism that is catching them is being used. Is it every time someone yells rigged?
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After realizing that this new sportsbook/ FBI partnership extends to all text messages by players, does anybody really think Nico didnt ask the FBI to investigate fat Luka before doing all that dumb stuff? If you are stuck in a bad contract why not leak to the FBI and check …
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You guys really almost 3:1 sure Musgrave outpaces FitzPatrick for TE1 without Kraft? What's going on with Jacobs snap share? Is Wilson becoming a guy now? https://t.co/jU6GOX2THn
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But I should probably stop with the pretense that we have real trials where the laws matter. The books have decided the guilt.
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Probable cause on that warrant is based on a gambler’s (who is charged w 65 years also) hearsay. Gonna be the whole trial if a trial happens. Do the totality of the circumstances before the text was found provide a “reasonably trustworthy” belief a crime has occurred?
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Anyway, the smoking gun here was clearly obtained through dragnet search of all player texts and post facto parallel construction. Or they REALLY trust Gambler 1!
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We need a process better than “books offered a bad market and lost a lot of money on it” as the beginning to these processes, or functionally they act as a government backstop for the books.
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Looks bad this time… but how many investigations did the books start that failed? How many times did they illegally / warrantlessly access player communications before they found the sad puppy face?
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A fucking billionaire whining about his feewings as people starve. Fuck that asshole.
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Man I can’t get over this world historical woe is me crap. Has any owner ever bitched about being held accountable for their bullshit by fans? I mean FAFO dude shut the fuck up.
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