AlpineIntel
@AlpineOSINT
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🇦🇹 Austrian-born blogger diving into geopolitics, war intel, disasters, weather events. Witty insights from the Alps. ☕ https://t.co/NLcFjbzT9M
Österreich
Joined July 2012
Russia reportedly aims to capture Pokrovsk by December 15. Given the current front-line situation, do you think Pokrovsk will hold?
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Footage indicates a Ukrainian strike on a Russian S-300/S-400 battery guarding Novorossiysk, followed by a sequence of major secondary detonations. This would be a logical first step before targeting the city’s key oil facilities, removing the air-defense shield.
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Visual confirmation that the oil facilities in Novorossiysk have been successfully hit. Coordinates: 44°42'32.45"N, 37°50'50.82"E This is also an endpoint for Russian pipelines, making it practically for Russians to be the worst spot of a missile strike.
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A major strike has hit Russia’s Sheskharis oil export terminal in Novorossiysk. Fires and heavy smoke are visible across the facility, which serves as a critical end point of Transneft’s pipeline network and a key hub for Black Sea crude exports.
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Bottom line: Pokrovsk is at severe operational risk. If Ukraine stabilizes the line east of the city, the front may hold. If Russia closes the corridor, the situation could escalate rapidly. The next days (and the next deliveries) will be decisive.
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Strategically, Russia aims to secure the rest of the Donbas in 2025, but progress depends on manpower, munitions, and the level of Western support for Ukraine. With winter shaping operations, Moscow is preparing for a seamless transition into the 2025 spring offensive.
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As a result, the airspace over the frontline has become a 20 km-wide “dead zone” where movement is nearly impossible without detection. Control of the drone layer directly shapes ground advances and the Pokrovsk sector is one of the most surveilled battlefields to date.
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Drone warfare is defining this battle. Both sides rely on UAVs for reconnaissance and strike coordination. Russia has recently deployed specialized counter-UAV teams (“Rubikon”) to identify and eliminate Ukrainian drone crews using electronic signature tracking.
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The biggest danger: an emerging pocket east of Pokrovsk. Russian forces are pushing from the north to close the gap. Several hundred Ukrainian troops may be operating inside the threatened zone. Kyiv is likely prioritizing withdrawals to avoid a large-scale capture.
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Russian tactics around Pokrovsk mirror earlier battles in Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Lysychansk: small assault groups, light vehicles, FPV saturation and constant pressure on Ukrainian fallback positions. Progress is slow, but incremental.
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Pokrovsk is one of the most important logistical hubs in central Donetsk. The main rail line cuts the city in two: With Russia controlling the southern side and Ukraine holding most of the northern districts.
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The battle for Pokrovsk is entering a critical phase. Russia holds the city’s southern districts and is pushing to seal a potential encirclement of the city. Ukraine is fighting to stabilize the line and extract units before the corridor collapses.
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In one of the newly released Epstein emails, published by the House Oversight Committee, Jeffrey Epstein wrote: “I have met some very bad people. None as bad as Trump. Not one decent cell in his body.” Your thoughts?
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Photos circulating on Ukrainian Telegram channels allegedly show an FP-5 “Flamingo” cruise missile used in tonight’s strike on Oryol. With an estimated 3,000 km range, the “Flamingo” enables deep-strike capability across Russian territory.
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Ukrainian missiles and drones struck Oryol, Russia, last night, targeting energy infrastructure again. Locals report the Oryol Thermal Power Plant was hit and damaged. Heavy smoke and debris were seen as air defenses engaged across the region.
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The historic 43-day government shutdown is over. Donald Trump has signed a bill reopening federal operations and addressing the disruption caused by the longest shutdown in U.S. history.
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What we know so far: Thousands of emails tied to the Epstein estate were released by House Democrats, including three referencing Donald Trump. One 2019 email from Epstein to Michael Wolff states that Trump “knew about the girls,” though it does not specify details or
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Thousands of emails linked to Jeffrey Epstein have been made public today, including three naming Trump and hinting he may have known of Epstein’s abuses. The release reportedly triggered alarm in the White House, prompting an emergency Situation Room meeting.
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